• EGRAG has recognized three XRP market cycles which have repeated over the previous 12 years.
• Every cycle follows the identical sequence: impulse, integration, enlargement.
• In keeping with long-term predictions, XRP may goal above $16 if the historic sample repeats.

Analyst EGRAG Crypto says XRP continues to observe a long-term structural sample. He shared an evaluation utilizing 12-year TradingView charts that targeted on cycle repeats, market actions, and worth construction.

Lengthy-term construction of XRP

EGRAG mentioned in a thread shared on X that many merchants deal with short-term worth actions and miss extra complete alerts that may solely be seen over a number of market cycles.

This evaluation relies on XRP’s efficiency towards the US greenback from 2013 to 2026. Fairly than specializing in day by day or weekly worth actions, the charts emphasize long-term conduct formed by investor sentiment and repeating patterns. EGRAG mentioned these patterns are constant throughout totally different market circumstances.

Associated: XRP Value Prediction: XRP Value Construction Stays Stable Regardless of Weak Spot Flows

3 cycles, comparable conduct

This chart divides XRP’s historical past into three main cycles. Every cycle follows the identical development. That’s, a powerful upward motion, adopted by a protracted correction part, after which enlargement once more.

Cycle 1 started in 2017, with XRP surging from $0.0055 to a peak of over $3. This transfer resulted in a acquire of roughly 60,000% from the beginning worth. After the height, XRP entered a chronic consolidation part.

Cycle 2 developed from 2020 to 2021. XRP rose from $0.17 to about $1.96, a rise of about 1,052% from its earlier base. Much like the primary cycle, the rally was adopted by one other main correction and consolidation throughout the similar ascending channel.

EGRAG has labeled the present stage as Cycle 3. In 2025, XRP rose above $3 after which returned to the consolidation vary. XRP is presently buying and selling at $2.10, down 2.2% over the previous day, extending its year-to-date losses to 27%.

Key worth ranges and forecasts

The chart consists of long-term forecasts primarily based on Fibonacci ranges and former expansions. Key reference factors embody 0.702, which corresponds to the $2.72 worth stage, and 1.00, which corresponds to $3.65, each of which coincide with earlier swing highs.

Lengthy-term forecasts derived from the channel construction point out potential future worth ranges round $16.50, $35, and $200. These ranges correspond to the higher limits of the channel throughout previous enlargement phases.

Associated: Curiosity in XRP is rising regardless of the complexity of cryptocurrencies

XRP on the highway to $16, $35, $200

Given the bold nature of the forecast, EGRAG’s publish drew criticism. X consumer Dr. Alshamari mentioned that analysts are “dreaming” and that the outlook for XRP is unrealistic.

A leap to $16.50, $35, and $200 would elevate the market cap to about $999 billion, $2.12 trillion, and $12.12 trillion, respectively. By comparability, XRP’s greater targets appear unrealistic, as Bitcoin’s market cap is presently $1.93 trillion, whereas the cryptocurrency’s market cap is round $3.36 trillion.

In the meantime, Tokentus CEO Oliver Michel recommended that XRP may attain $12 if its market share doubles and $16 if it triples. He famous that ETF momentum signifies robust underlying demand, which may speed up as provide tightens and market circumstances enhance. Grok AI additionally playfully recommended that XRP may attain $10 by 2026, resulting in a $100 guess with X consumer ScamDetective. If XRP have been $10, the valuation can be over $600 billion.