Bitcoin (BTC) Worth Forecast June 16, 2025: Can BTC maintain a $104,000 pivot amid bear strain?

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Bitcoin costs at the moment are struggling to remain above $105,000 after refusing low assist of almost $104,200. The newest every day buildings present that BTC is trapped within the formation of correction flags, however the broader traits outweigh the crucial heights of Fibonacci ranges.

What is going to occur to Bitcoin costs?

After falling beneath $106,000 within the June 13 breakdown, Bitcoin costs have been consolidated in a slim vary, with resistance of $106,000 and assist of $104,000. On the every day charts, BTC sits at 0.5 Fibonacci retracement degree ($105,485), making an attempt to kind a better and decrease degree past the 0.618 zone, near $104,291. The newest candles recommend indecisiveness, however value motion stays impartial.

The four-hour chart reveals BTC that bounces inside a microchannel with $103,150 and resistance between demand and almost $105,400. Quantity Profiles present key pursuits that Bitcoin has been clustered between $104,200 and $105,800, which ranges all through the week.

Bitcoin value motion faces resistance from cloud and EMA clusters

BTC continues to wrestle beneath the crucial confluence zone shaped by the 20/50/100 EMA band and Keltner Channel Midline in a four-hour time-frame. Bitcoin value motion faces a provide of between $105,800 and $106,300. This additionally coincides with Seikai Cloud’s Flattenkansen and Kijunsen.

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Stochastic RSIs are at the moment hovering close to extra zones (85-86) exhibiting potential fatigue. Until BTC recovers $106,300, this rebound could possibly be short-lived.

Momentum stays restrained, with Bollinger Band signing on signing of a decline in Bitcoin value volatility. This setup will increase the possibilities of breakouts or breakdowns in future classes.

Why is Bitcoin value dropping at the moment?

Bitcoin costs at the moment are barely decrease at the moment as market contributors reply to overhead resistance at $105,800 and demand is weak on the $106,000 degree. MACD on the 30-minute chart has as soon as once more develop into bearish, however the RSI reveals a short-term rollover from 52-53 to 45.

The 30-minute chart’s Directional Motion Index (DMI) signifies a weak pattern. The +DI and -DI strains intersect ceaselessly, with ADX beneath 25, suggesting there isn’t any clear pattern path. Merchants proceed to be cautious in the direction of the weekend as Bitcoin value spikes are promoting rapidly.

If BTC is unable to shut over $106,000 within the subsequent 12-24 hours, the possibilities of revisiting will likely be enhanced to $103,000-$104,000.

Quick-term outlook: Can BTC retest $107,000 or slide to $102K?

The value construction reveals that BTC varieties a symmetrical triangle, with potential breakout factors near $105,400. If the Bulls are in a position to push past this degree with quantity checks, the following upside goal will likely be $107,000 adopted by $108,150 (0.382 fib 0.382 every day).

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Nonetheless, in the event you do not maintain $104,200, it might drop to $103,150 and be diminished to $101,200. The latter represents a quantity assist demand zone that would perform as a springboard when examined once more.

Within the larger time-frame, Bitcoin remains to be buying and selling past the main bullish breakoutline, near $100,400 (FIB 1.0 degree).

Bitcoin forecast desk: June 16, 2025

indicator Worth/Sign
Bitcoin Costs As we speak $105,140
Key resistance $106,000/$107,000/$108,150
Essential assist $104,200/$103,150/$101,200
RSI (half-hour) 45.2 (bearish inclination)
MACD (half-hour) Bearish crossover
Chance RSI Acquisition (85–86)
DMI Weak pattern, low ADX
Bollinger width Contract – Extremely seemingly
FIB degree (every day) 0.5: $105,485/0.618: $104,291/0.786: $102,590

Bitcoin stays on the resolution level. The Bulls might want to regain $106,000-$106,300 after being convicted to deliver the pattern again to the highest. Till then, wider biases stay impartial, and if momentum stalls, draw back threat is heading in the direction of $103,000.

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