• Polymarket is presently pricing in a 48% probability of Bitcoin reaching $1 million earlier than Rockstar releases GTA VI.
• BTC is buying and selling close to $101,000 and would wish to rise about 10x in about 20 days to surpass the match date of November 26, 2025.
• The market will stay open even when GTA VI is postponed, with a 50-50 settlement on July 31, 2026 if neither set off happens.

Prediction market customers are beginning to commerce on the conclusion that Bitcoin will attain $1 million earlier than Rockstar releases Grand Theft Auto Model 6 (GTA VI), an end result that has no financial connection by any means.

This record garnered consideration throughout X because it hyperlinks two very on-line timelines into one pot: crypto value targets and long-awaited sport launches. As of this snapshot, BTC is buying and selling round $100,967, making a $1 million goal appear excessive on such a brief countdown.

Associated: $200,000 in Bitcoin by the tip of the 12 months? Fundstrat’s Tom Lee doubles down on bullish calls

Wild however not unattainable

Most crypto customers contemplate the most recent Polymarket knowledge on Bitcoin value to be tough given the present value of the cryptocurrency and basic crypto market tendencies. For context, GTA VI is scheduled to be launched on November twenty sixth, simply 20 days from the time of writing, whereas BTC is buying and selling at $100,967, in accordance with TradingView knowledge.

Mathematically talking, the cited Polymarket knowledge suggests that there’s a 48% probability that Bitcoin will soar roughly 10x over the following 20 days. Though not dominated out, attaining this feat could require the pioneering cryptocurrency to rediscover what it was greater than a decade in the past, when it was vulnerable to unprecedented volatility.

What are the chances?

In the meantime, Polymarket analysts are scrutinizing the small print of a wager tying Bitcoin’s $1 million goal to the discharge of GTA VI. On the time of writing, the anticipated date is November twenty sixth, but when the sport’s builders resolve to maneuver the date ahead, bets will not finish. It’s value noting that if neither occasion happens by July 31, 2026, the market will settle 50/50.

Bitcoin has maintained an general bullish trajectory since mid-This fall 2022 after recovering from the earlier bear market. The cryptocurrency rebounded from assist close to $16,000 after which started a sustained rally, reaching an all-time excessive of $126,272 in October 2025.

Will BTC be capable of rediscover its historic type?

The interval from the final months of 2022 to October 2025 displays a 675% rise in Bitcoin, a ratio that’s higher than the challenges forward if the cryptocurrency goals to succeed in the $1 million purpose.

Most analysts imagine Bitcoin might attain $1 million sooner or later, however attaining it in such a brief time period can be an uncommon feat, even for a high-flying digital asset.

Associated: Bitcoin Value Evaluation: BTC Stays Vital Assist Regardless of 20% Correction