Crypto market is undervalued regardless of Bitcoin's $63,000 surge, analyst says

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  • Benjamin Cohen stated boring summers usually are not unusual within the cryptocurrency business.
  • The cryptocurrency market capitalization is at the moment undervalued.
  • Overvaluation and undervaluation traits are frequent within the cryptocurrency business.

Benjamin Cohen, CEO of crypto schooling platform IntoTheCryptoverse, not too long ago mentioned the present crypto market scenario and stated {that a} “boring” summer time will not be unusual within the digital asset sector, with the analyst noting {that a} related interval of comparatively lackluster exercise occurred final summer time.

In a YouTube video, Cowen acknowledged that the cryptocurrency market capitalization is at a wholesome degree of $2.33 trillion as of July 1, 2024. Nevertheless, this determine stays 14.72% undervalued relative to the truthful worth log regression trendline, which hovers round $2.74 trillion.

This pattern line (in crimson) marks the market's historic highs and lows, whereas the higher and decrease inexperienced traces proven within the picture beneath symbolize the boundaries between overvalued and undervalued.

Cowen famous that whereas the market is at the moment undervalued, that is unprecedented. Wanting again to 2017, an analogous sample will be seen: a protracted consolidation section adopted by a sudden surge above the pattern line. An identical scenario occurred in 2019, when value motion rose above this crimson line, then dropped, then rose above it once more in 2020, then dropped once more.

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When the crimson line breaks by the overvalued space, it’s normally adopted by a pullback, signaling a correction. This was evident in 2011, 2012 and 2016, when pullbacks occurred instantly after the overvaluation, as will be seen within the chart beneath.

Cowen suggested traders to not fear in regards to the present undervaluation, including:

“So in lots of instances, we don't actually see persistent overvaluation occurring till later within the halving 12 months or early within the post-halving 12 months.”

Notably, on the time of writing, Bitcoin has shortly reclaimed the $63,000 value degree from the $60,000 value degree over the weekend, with the cryptocurrency's market capitalization rising 3.65% in 24 hours, based on CoinMarketCap.

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